Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 107.260571 124.050397 144.133842 170.393052 204.555677 2.486123e+02 311.741537
2024-10-06 87.346097 108.439363 136.742413 179.297798 245.366894 3.519178e+02 558.822958
2024-10-13 71.909399 92.503580 121.831361 169.481218 251.804308 4.062730e+02 788.922202
2024-10-20 64.833804 86.064956 117.971941 173.764536 281.151264 5.195765e+02 1333.383637
2024-10-27 58.087392 78.760418 110.997728 170.401379 294.450693 6.109710e+02 2100.514724
2024-11-03 55.585537 77.363694 112.934889 183.109389 347.076060 8.645080e+02 5546.540059
2024-11-10 55.591398 79.805741 121.637450 211.623366 456.928920 1.547864e+03 109795.469867
2024-11-17 51.850856 75.511240 117.480308 211.672570 490.102115 2.021521e+03 NaN
2024-11-24 48.331472 71.170913 112.528436 208.548017 512.233749 2.553343e+03 NaN
2024-12-01 45.136503 67.059728 107.425615 203.794622 526.707787 3.157290e+03 NaN
2024-12-08 42.795003 64.225541 104.443608 203.629942 560.016731 4.347998e+03 NaN
2024-12-15 40.824382 61.867409 102.097370 204.562311 600.302586 6.435748e+03 NaN
2024-12-22 38.178994 58.338583 97.495732 200.067085 623.039972 9.590304e+03 NaN
2024-12-29 36.949865 57.359816 98.236651 211.434565 747.179792 3.705259e+04 NaN
2025-01-05 34.192855 53.233657 91.584504 198.904266 720.848320 5.126297e+04 NaN
2025-01-12 32.931302 51.845779 90.788492 204.360593 822.175706 2.538081e+06 NaN
2025-01-19 31.198604 49.391991 87.265174 200.074962 851.849470 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 30.787941 49.482154 89.588144 216.323988 1093.923170 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 31.265818 51.387745 96.566380 253.319295 1767.519311 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 30.034450 49.666456 94.303331 253.383761 1966.867785 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 28.747903 47.734136 91.270320 249.294261 2090.574955 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 27.487464 45.773550 87.957022 243.089432 2159.666061 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 26.542377 44.420008 86.090715 242.874827 2398.788404 NaN NaN